Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005351 0.005653 0.005966 0.006314 0.006692 0.007090 0.007543
2025-12-14 0.004831 0.005269 0.005744 0.006300 0.006935 0.007643 0.008496
2025-12-21 0.004385 0.004879 0.005430 0.006094 0.006881 0.007790 0.008932
2025-12-28 0.004167 0.004714 0.005339 0.006113 0.007058 0.008186 0.009659
2026-01-04 0.004020 0.004614 0.005307 0.006186 0.007287 0.008644 0.010478
2026-01-11 0.003837 0.004456 0.005190 0.006139 0.007357 0.008895 0.011039
2026-01-18 0.003695 0.004336 0.005109 0.006127 0.007460 0.009186 0.011663
2026-01-25 0.003550 0.004203 0.005003 0.006073 0.007500 0.009389 0.012173
2026-02-01 0.003497 0.004183 0.005034 0.006194 0.007773 0.009917 0.013175
2026-02-08 0.003388 0.004084 0.004959 0.006168 0.007843 0.010163 0.013781
2026-02-15 0.003296 0.004004 0.004903 0.006162 0.007937 0.010444 0.014457
2026-02-22 0.003179 0.003886 0.004792 0.006075 0.007908 0.010542 0.014852
2026-03-01 0.003072 0.003777 0.004691 0.005998 0.007892 0.010661 0.015292
2026-03-08 0.002996 0.003708 0.004638 0.005987 0.007970 0.010924 0.015990
2026-03-15 0.002859 0.003552 0.004464 0.005796 0.007771 0.010748 0.015934
2026-03-22 0.002805 0.003506 0.004438 0.005813 0.007884 0.011064 0.016744
2026-03-29 0.002771 0.003487 0.004446 0.005881 0.008075 0.011512 0.017825
2026-04-05 0.002702 0.003417 0.004382 0.005838 0.008091 0.011676 0.018405
2026-04-12 0.002648 0.003364 0.004340 0.005826 0.008155 0.011921 0.019155
2026-04-19 0.002584 0.003297 0.004274 0.005776 0.008154 0.012056 0.019704
2026-04-26 0.002573 0.003304 0.004315 0.005888 0.008420 0.012663 0.021244
2026-05-03 0.002522 0.003252 0.004269 0.005864 0.008461 0.012877 0.022008
2026-05-10 0.002479 0.003210 0.004236 0.005859 0.008532 0.013149 0.022919